{"id":253657,"date":"2024-06-03T15:15:18","date_gmt":"2024-06-03T15:15:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/?p=253657"},"modified":"2024-06-03T15:15:18","modified_gmt":"2024-06-03T15:15:18","slug":"osint-is-changing-thanks-to-global-cyber-geopolitical-conflicts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/osint-is-changing-thanks-to-global-cyber-geopolitical-conflicts","title":{"rendered":"OSINT is Changing Thanks to Global Cyber &#038; Geopolitical Conflicts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Some say we live in the era of information and data, but as geopolitical conflicts rise, how easy is it for governments, military, defense contractors, and international businesses or organizations to access valuable data?<\/p>\n<p>From the South China Sea conflict to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the conflict in the Middle East, and increasing global nation-state-supported cyberattacks, regional information of value is becoming every day harder to come by. This is where OSINT comes in.<\/p>\n<p>OSINT \u2014 open source intelligence \u2014 companies collect and analyze data gathered from public and open sources to provide strategic, actionable intelligence. And the OSINT market, driven by modern geopolitics, is booming.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-note\"  style=\"border-color:#dddddd;border-radius:3px;-moz-border-radius:3px;-webkit-border-radius:3px;\"><div class=\"su-note-inner su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7;border-color:#ffffff;color:#333333;border-radius:3px;-moz-border-radius:3px;-webkit-border-radius:3px;\">\n<h2><span id=\"key_takeaways\">Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li aria-level=\"1\">The OSINT market is booming due to factors like global cyber threats and the need for cross-border intelligence.<\/li>\n<li aria-level=\"1\">AI is transforming OSINT by automating data processing and analysis, but human expertise remains crucial for identifying valuable sources and critical thinking.<\/li>\n<li aria-level=\"1\">OSINT helps organizations manage risk by providing insights from hard-to-reach regions, such as the South China Sea.<\/li>\n<li aria-level=\"1\">OSINT bridges the risk-confidence gap by providing actionable intelligence and mitigating data bias.<\/div><\/div><div>\n    <section class=\"toc-sticky w-100 bg-white \">\n        <div class=\"toc-sticky__container container\">\n            <div class=\"toc-sticky__open d-flex align-items-end\" data-bs-toggle=\"collapse\"\n                 aria-controls=\"multiCollapse1\"\n                 data-bs-target=\"#multiCollapse1\">\n                <button\n                        class=\"btn btn-primary collapse-action-btn p-1 rounded-circle\"\n                        type=\"button\"\n                >\n                    <i class=\"icon-chevron-up\"><\/i>\n                <\/button>\n                <span id=\"toc-current-title\" class=\"d-flex align-items-center\">\n                    Table of Contents\n                <\/span>\n                <span class=\"toc-main-title-permanent\">Table of Contents<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div\n                    class=\"collapse my-3\"\n                    id=\"multiCollapse1\"\n            >\n                <ol class=\"StepProgress\">\n                                                                        <li class=\"StepProgress-item current\">\n                                                <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                            <a data-id=\"key_takeaways\"\n                               onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"key_takeaways\")\n                               class=\"StepProgress-item__link\" data-level=\"2\">Key Takeaways<\/a>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                <\/li>\n                                                                        <li class=\"StepProgress-item\">\n                                                <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                            <a data-id=\"the_state_of_the_global_osint_market\"\n                               onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"the_state_of_the_global_osint_market\")\n                               class=\"StepProgress-item__link\" data-level=\"2\">The State of the Global OSINT Market<\/a>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                <\/li>\n                                                                        <li class=\"StepProgress-item\">\n                                                <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                            <a data-id=\"how_ai_is_transforming_osint\"\n                               onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"how_ai_is_transforming_osint\")\n                               class=\"StepProgress-item__link\" data-level=\"2\">How AI is transforming OSINT<\/a>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                <\/li>\n                                                                        <li class=\"StepProgress-item\">\n                                                <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                            <a data-id=\"real-world_examples_osint_in_action\"\n                               onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"real-world_examples_osint_in_action\")\n                               class=\"StepProgress-item__link\" data-level=\"2\">Real-world examples: OSINT in Action<\/a>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                <\/li>\n                                                                        <li class=\"StepProgress-item\">\n                                                <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                            <a data-id=\"bridging_the_risk-confidence-gap\"\n                               onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"bridging_the_risk-confidence-gap\")\n                               class=\"StepProgress-item__link\" data-level=\"2\">Bridging the Risk-Confidence-Gap<\/a>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                <\/li>\n                                                                        <li class=\"StepProgress-item\">\n                                                <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                            <a data-id=\"new_challenges_ethics_ai_and_bias\"\n                               onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"new_challenges_ethics_ai_and_bias\")\n                               class=\"StepProgress-item__link\" data-level=\"2\">New Challenges: Ethics, AI, and Bias<\/a>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                <\/li>\n                                                                        <li class=\"StepProgress-item\">\n                                                <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                            <a data-id=\"the_future_of_osint\"\n                               onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"the_future_of_osint\")\n                               class=\"StepProgress-item__link\" data-level=\"2\">The Future of OSINT<\/a>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                <\/li>\n                                    <\/ol>\n                <div class=\"toc-sticky__container__disperse\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"toc-sticky__btn-top justify-content-center\">\n                    <button class=\"btn btn-link d-flex align-items-center\" onclick={btnTop()}><p>Show Full Guide<\/p><img decoding=\"async\"\n                                src=\"\/wp-content\/plugins\/table-of-contents\/assets\/images\/arrow-up-circle.svg\"\n                                alt=\"arrow-up-circle\">\n                    <\/button>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <div class=\"toc-sticky-list\">\n        <div class=\"toc-sticky__container container\">\n            <div class=\"toc-sticky__open d-flex align-items-end\" data-bs-toggle=\"collapse\" aria-controls=\"multiCollapse2\" data-bs-target=\"#multiCollapse2\">\n                <button class=\"btn btn-primary collapse-action-btn p-1 rounded-circle\"\n                        type=\"button\">\n                    <i class=\"icon-chevron-up up\"><\/i>\n                <\/button>\n                <span id=\"toc-current-title\" class=\"d-flex align-items-center\">\n                    Table of Contents\n                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div  class=\"collapse my-3\" id=\"multiCollapse2\">\n                <ol class=\"StepProgress\">\n                    \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t                                                     <li class=\"StepProgress-item current \">\n                                                    <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                                <a data-id=\"key_takeaways\"\n                                   onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"key_takeaways\")\n                                   class=\"StepProgress-item__link\"\n                                   data-level=\"2\">Key Takeaways<\/a>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/li>\n                    \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t                                                     <li class=\"StepProgress-item \">\n                                                    <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                                <a data-id=\"the_state_of_the_global_osint_market\"\n                                   onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"the_state_of_the_global_osint_market\")\n                                   class=\"StepProgress-item__link\"\n                                   data-level=\"2\">The State of the Global OSINT Market<\/a>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/li>\n                    \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t                                                     <li class=\"StepProgress-item \">\n                                                    <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                                <a data-id=\"how_ai_is_transforming_osint\"\n                                   onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"how_ai_is_transforming_osint\")\n                                   class=\"StepProgress-item__link\"\n                                   data-level=\"2\">How AI is transforming OSINT<\/a>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/li>\n                    \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t <span class=\"show_moretoc\">Show Full Guide<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t                                                      <li class=\"StepProgress-item ms_hidetoc\">\n                                                    <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                                <a data-id=\"real-world_examples_osint_in_action\"\n                                   onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"real-world_examples_osint_in_action\")\n                                   class=\"StepProgress-item__link\"\n                                   data-level=\"2\">Real-world examples: OSINT in Action<\/a>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/li>\n                    \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t                                                      <li class=\"StepProgress-item ms_hidetoc\">\n                                                    <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                                <a data-id=\"bridging_the_risk-confidence-gap\"\n                                   onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"bridging_the_risk-confidence-gap\")\n                                   class=\"StepProgress-item__link\"\n                                   data-level=\"2\">Bridging the Risk-Confidence-Gap<\/a>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/li>\n                    \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t                                                      <li class=\"StepProgress-item ms_hidetoc\">\n                                                    <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                                <a data-id=\"new_challenges_ethics_ai_and_bias\"\n                                   onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"new_challenges_ethics_ai_and_bias\")\n                                   class=\"StepProgress-item__link\"\n                                   data-level=\"2\">New Challenges: Ethics, AI, and Bias<\/a>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/li>\n                    \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t                                                      <li class=\"StepProgress-item ms_hidetoc\">\n                                                    <div class=\"StepProgress-item__group\">\n                                <a data-id=\"the_future_of_osint\"\n                                   onclick=handleScrollToTitle(\"the_future_of_osint\")\n                                   class=\"StepProgress-item__link\"\n                                   data-level=\"2\">The Future of OSINT<\/a>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/li>\n                                    <\/ol>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"toc-sticky__container__disperse\"><\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<script id=\"toc-js\">\n    window.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\", () => {\n        const header = 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          \/\/ set everything outside the onscroll event (less work per scroll)\n            const target = document.querySelector(\".toc-sticky\");\n            const targetListStatic = document.querySelector(\".toc-sticky-list\");\n\n            if (!target || !header) return;\n\n            const headerHeight = header.getBoundingClientRect().height;\n            const targetHeight = targetListStatic.getBoundingClientRect().height;\n\n            \/\/ -headerHeight so it won't be jumpy\n            const stop = targetListStatic.offsetTop + headerHeight + targetHeight;\n            const docBody =\n                document.documentElement || document.body.parentNode || document.body;\n            const hasOffset = window.pageYOffset !== undefined;\n\n            const applySticky = function () {\n                \/\/ cross-browser compatible scrollTop.\n                const scrollTop = hasOffset ? window.pageYOffset : docBody.scrollTop;\n\n                \/\/ if user scrolls to headerHeight from the top of the target div\n                if (scrollTop >= stop) {\n                    pageLegendCollapse.hide();\n                    \/\/ stick the div\n                    target.classList.add(\"sticky\");\n                    \/\/target.style.marginTop = `${headerHeight}px`;\n                } else {\n                    pageLegendCollapse.show();\n                    \/\/ release the div\n                    target.classList.remove(\"sticky\");\n                    target.style.marginTop = \"\";\n                }\n            }\n\n            applySticky();\n\n            window.addEventListener('scroll', applySticky);\n        })(header, pageLegendCollapse);\n\tjQuery('span.show_moretoc').click(function(){\n\t\tjQuery('span.show_moretoc').hide();\n\t   jQuery('.ms_hidetoc').show();\n\t});\n    });\n\n    \/\/ When the user clicks on the button, scroll to the top of the document\n    function btnTop() {\n        const pageLegend = document.querySelector('#multiCollapse1');\n        document.querySelector('html').classList.remove('overflow-hidden');\n        pageLegend.classList.remove('overflow-auto');\n        pageLegend.style.height = 'auto';\n        window.scrollTo({\n            top: 0,\n            behavior: 'smooth'\n        });\n    }\n\n    const handleScrollToTitle = (id) => {\n        const el = document.getElementById(id);\n        const headerHeightDifference = window.innerWidth < 992 ? -30 : -15;\n        window.scrollTo({\n            top: el.offsetTop - 60 - headerHeightDifference - 10,\n        });\n    }\n<\/script>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span id=\"the_state_of_the_global_osint_market\">The State of the Global OSINT Market<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.snsinsider.com\/reports\/open-source-intelligence-market-1390\" target=\"_blank\">SNS insider<\/a> report on the OSINT global market found that the sector is projected to grow to $36.93 billion by 2030 \u2014 <strong>a staggering fivefold increase.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This growth is being \u201cpropelled\u201d by different factors, such as the global cybersecurity threat landscape and the \u201cincreasing need for cross-border intelligence\u201d. Additionally, new technologies like advanced <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/8181\/machine-learning-ml\">machine learning<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/190\/artificial-intelligence-ai\">artificial intelligence<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/34633\/generative-ai\">generative AI<\/a> are dramatically transforming the operations of the big names in the OSINT including <strong>Thales Group<\/strong>, <strong>Google OSINT<\/strong>, <strong>Recorded Future<\/strong>, and <strong>Babel Street<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"how_ai_is_transforming_osint\">How AI is transforming OSINT<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>On May 22, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.babelstreet.com\/about-us\/newsroom\/babel-street-launches-insights-elite-regional-access-empowering-customers-with-hyper-focused-hard-to-access-regional-knowledge\" target=\"_blank\">Babel Street<\/a> launched the Insights Elite Regional Access, promising to empower customers with hyper-focused, hard-to-access regional knowledge.<\/p>\n<p>Developed for defense and security professionals, supply chain, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/25836\/it-risk-management\">risk managers<\/a>, and global businesses, the platform is integrated with AI-powered insights proprietary software to provide, strategic insights into regional military capabilities, emerging threats, regional disruptions information, and more.<\/p>\n<p>Techopedia sat with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/jessica-lewis-mcfate-b7809454\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Jessica Lewis McFate<\/strong><\/a><strong>, Sr. Director of Intelligence Solutions at <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.babelstreet.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Babel Street<\/strong><\/a> \u2014 an intelligence company integrating AI into its OSINT portfolio \u2014 to get the inside story on how real-time insights are produced to support data-driven decisions.<\/p>\n<p>McFate is a West Point graduate who served as a U.S. Army officer with 34 months deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan in signals intelligence, human intelligence, and counter-corruption roles specializing in open-source intelligence (OSINT) for national security.<\/p>\n<p>McFate told Techopedia that the new Babel Solution solution allows users to analyze typically hard-to-reach publicly available information (PAI) through specialized access to key regions such as East Asia, Eastern Europe, and the Middle East.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cAI and automation play central roles in processing, analyzing, and presenting relevant information and signals that can illuminate insights, but the human element remains essential.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>McFate explained that human-machine collaboration is important for organizations seeking to make informed decisions. \u201cAt the end of the day, it\u2019s the synergy of human expertise and technological capabilities that yields the most valuable insights,\u201d McFate said.<\/p>\n<p>Babel Street is using AI to augment its workforce. A team of experts provides support, creates information strategies tailored to specific needs, and plays a vital role in identifying the most valuable and relevant sources, McFate explained.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cWhile AI and automation are powerful tools, they really empower human analysts to utilize their domain knowledge, contextual understanding, and critical thinking necessary to transform data into actionable intelligence\u201d.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2><span id=\"real-world_examples_osint_in_action\">Real-world examples: OSINT in Action<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>McFate described the rigorous investigation, collection, and refinement of data processes that use proprietary methods and advanced technologies. But how do these services play out in the real world? McFate explained it for Techopedia:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cConsider the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the South China Sea. The escalating risks pose potential disruptions for businesses operating in or around this region, such as shipping companies or global enterprises.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u201cArmed with these insights, a shipping company could quickly spot emerging threats and reroute vessels away from conflict zones, ensuring safety and minimizing disruptions.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The value of regional secure, comprehensive, reliable, and relevant data from hard-to-reach regions in a world ripe with global uncertainties is undeniable. It allows organizations to manage risks effectively and make data-driven decisions.<\/p>\n<p>McFate said the work is to empower decision-making through knowledge and provide organizations with a decision advantage.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis localized intelligence helps them more effectively identify and respond to emerging risks and opportunities.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"bridging_the_risk-confidence-gap\">Bridging the Risk-Confidence-Gap<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>When it comes to data, more does not necessarily mean better. An Oracle 2023 global study, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/global-study-70-of-business-leaders-would-prefer-a-robot-to-make-their-decisions-301799591.html\" target=\"_blank\">The Data Dilemma<\/a>, found that while most business leaders (83%) agree that access to more data should simplify decision-making, 86% say they <strong>feel less confident making decisions despite having more data<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The majority of those surveyed said that the growing volume of data has actually limited the success of their organization, with 72% admitting that the data overload has stopped them from making any decision at all.<\/p>\n<p>Business leaders also said that the dashboards, charts, and reports they receive often do not relate to the decisions they have to make.<\/p>\n<p>The problem is not just the amount of data but also the massive amount of data that is of bad quality or \u201cnot fit for business\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pigment.com\/resources\/office-cfo-2024\" target=\"_blank\">Office of the CFO 2024: Expectations vs Reality<\/a> report of Pigment found that <strong>89% of finance leaders are making monthly decisions based on inaccurate or incomplete data.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Additionally, only one in four financial leaders say they have the confidence to make long-term plans (a year or more in advance). McFate spoke to Techopedia about how confidence gaps affect OSINT operations.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIn today\u2019s landscape, organizations often face what we call a \u201crisk-confidence gap\u201d \u2014 the challenge of accurately analyzing risk in an era of overwhelming data, complex regulations, and rapidly evolving threats.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cOur approach is to help close this gap by providing not just access to data but also the tools and features that enable users to extract actionable intelligence and insight efficiently,\u201d McFate added.<\/p>\n<p>The same Oracle found that leaders are open to automation, AI, and new technologies, with <strong>70% of them saying they would prefer a robot to make their decisions.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The OSINT market, as mentioned, has already taken the first steps to integrate automation, despiting not focusing on replacing decision makers with AI. McFate spoke about automation and OSINT workflows.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cWe turbo-charge open-source intelligence (OSINT) workflows with AI-enabled features that help users navigate the tremendous volume and complexity of multilingual information to accelerate findings.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2><span id=\"new_challenges_ethics_ai_and_bias\">New Challenges: Ethics, AI, and Bias<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>OSINT companies also face new challenges \u2014 such as ethical data collection and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/times-ai-bias-caused-real-world-harm\">AI bias<\/a> \u2014 as they integrate AI and adapt to a more complex and interconnected yet disconnected world.<\/p>\n<p>But McFate believes these challenges can be turned into leverage and opportunities.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201c(OSINT)&#8230; offerings can be particularly valuable when it comes to mitigating bias. So much information circulating today is shaped by deliberate information strategies. By providing users with access to a diverse array of regional content, these solutions enable analysts to gather information from multiple vantage points and challenge assumptions or potential bias.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2><span id=\"the_future_of_osint\">The Future of OSINT<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>As McFate explained, the work is all about democratizing access to the intelligence that drives peak performance. \u201cAs the volume of content continues to grow exponentially, human interaction with systems and data will remain necessary,\u201d McFate told Techopedia.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIn an increasingly complex and competitive world, every organization should have the tools they need to close the risk-confidence gap and make informed, confident decisions.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Faced with increasing threats, a massive global escalation in data generation, and the complexities of informational warfare, the future of OSINT promises to be challenging but also highly demanded.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some say we live in the era of information and data, but as geopolitical conflicts rise, how easy is it for governments, military, defense contractors, and international businesses or organizations to access valuable data? From the South China Sea conflict to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the conflict in the Middle East, and increasing global [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":286688,"featured_media":253676,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[557,599],"tags":[],"category_partsoff":[],"class_list":["post-253657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-data-management","category-machine-learning"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.2 (Yoast SEO v24.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>OSINT is Changing Thanks to Global Cyber &amp; Geopolitical Conflicts Techopedia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The inside story on the OSINT transformation and its exponential growth driven by global threats and conflicts by key experts.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"OSINT is Changing Thanks to Global Cyber &amp; 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