{"id":203979,"date":"2024-03-18T14:41:12","date_gmt":"2024-03-18T14:41:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/?post_type=definition&#038;p=203979"},"modified":"2024-03-18T14:41:12","modified_gmt":"2024-03-18T14:41:12","slug":"market-sentiment","status":"publish","type":"definition","link":"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/market-sentiment","title":{"rendered":"Market Sentiment"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><span id=\"what_is_market_sentiment\">What is Market Sentiment?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Market sentiment is a term coined to explain the collective feelings or attitudes toward a particular market or asset. Understanding market sentiment alongside market fundamentals and technical analysis is crucial for decoding financial market movements.<\/p>\n<p>The market sentiment definition extends beyond mere optimism or pessimism. It encapsulates the prevailing emotions and attitudes that influence buying and selling decisions within the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/stock-market\">stock market<\/a> and other financial arenas.<\/p>\n<p>Always remember, that behind all the number crunching and even the algorithms in markets, there are human beings, and humans have emotions \u2013 they are sentimental.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"techopedia_explains_the_market_sentiment_meaning\">Techopedia Explains the Market Sentiment Meaning<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-1-300x171.jpg\" alt=\"Techopedia Explains the Market Sentiment Meaning\" width=\"1200\" height=\"684\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-203998\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-1-300x171.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-1-1024x583.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-1-768x438.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-1-1200x684.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-1.jpg 1390w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It is the collective mindset of investors and traders that gets reflected in the pricing of financial <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/securities-market\">securities<\/a>. This sentiment can swing from extreme optimism to deep pessimism, influencing market behavior along the way.<\/p>\n<p>Understanding market sentiment today or this week, or this year, involves recognizing how it serves as a thermometer for the market&#8217;s emotional climate. It is not an exact science but an interpretive art that gauges the general consensus about the market or a particular asset.<\/p>\n<p>Various factors contribute to shaping this sentiment, including:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Economic indicators<\/li>\n<li>New technologies<\/li>\n<li>The cost-of-living<\/li>\n<li>Political events<\/li>\n<li>Corporate news<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Comprehending any kind of market sentiment definition requires acknowledging its fluid nature. It can change swiftly in response to new information or broader economic shifts, reflecting the collective reaction of market participants.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"top_5_indicators_of_market_sentiment\">Top 5 Indicators of Market Sentiment<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Here is a list of the top five sentiment indicators that effectively capture the emotional pulse of the market:<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><div class=\"su-tabs su-tabs-style-default su-tabs-mobile-stack su-tabs-vertical\" data-active=\"1\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\" data-anchor-in-url=\"no\"><div class=\"su-tabs-nav\"><span class=\"\" data-url=\"\" data-target=\"blank\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\"><strong>Fear and Greed Index<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"\" data-url=\"\" data-target=\"blank\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\"><strong>Put\/Call Ratio<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"\" data-url=\"\" data-target=\"blank\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\"><strong>Commitment of Traders (COT) Report<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"\" data-url=\"\" data-target=\"blank\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\"><strong>AAII Sentiment Survey<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"\" data-url=\"\" data-target=\"blank\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\"><strong>Investors Intelligence Bull\/Bear Ratio<\/strong><\/span><\/div><div class=\"su-tabs-panes\"><div class=\"su-tabs-pane su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" data-title=\"&lt;strong&gt;Fear and Greed Index&lt;\/strong&gt;\">\n<p class=\"p1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/fear-and-greed-index\">This index aggregates various data points<\/a>, including market momentum, volatility, and volume, to provide a single gauge of the market&#8217;s prevailing sentiment, categorizing it into &#8216;fear&#8217; or &#8216;greed.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"su-tabs-pane su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" data-title=\"&lt;strong&gt;Put\/Call Ratio&lt;\/strong&gt;\">\n<p class=\"p1\">This ratio offers insight into investor sentiment by comparing the volume of traded put options to call options, with higher values indicating bearish sentiment and lower values suggesting bullish sentiment.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"su-tabs-pane su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" data-title=\"&lt;strong&gt;Commitment of Traders (COT) Report&lt;\/strong&gt;\">\n<p>While primarily used in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/commodity\">commodities<\/a>, the COT report provides valuable insights into the positioning of different market participants, helping gauge sentiment in broader markets when analyzed correctly.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"su-tabs-pane su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" data-title=\"&lt;strong&gt;AAII Sentiment Survey&lt;\/strong&gt;\">\n<p>This weekly survey from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aaii.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">American Association of Individual Investors<\/a> gauges the sentiment among individual investors, offering a direct measure of their bullish or bearish outlooks.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"su-tabs-pane su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" data-title=\"&lt;strong&gt;Investors Intelligence Bull\/Bear Ratio&lt;\/strong&gt;\">\n<p>Derived from a survey of investment newsletter writers, this ratio provides a sentiment perspective from market professionals, contrasting bullish and bearish opinions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<figure id=\"attachment_203985\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-203985\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-11-300x160.jpg\" alt=\"Bespoke Investment Group\" width=\"1200\" height=\"640\" class=\"wp-image-203985\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-11-300x160.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-11-1024x546.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-11-768x410.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-11.jpg 1196w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-203985\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Bespoke Investment Group<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Other sentiment indicators like the \u2018NDR Crowd Sentiment Indicator\u2019 discussed further below can also be used as well as indicators, such as the VIX for volatility or the advance\/decline index for market breadth.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"sentiment_vs_breadth_vs_volatility_indicators\">Sentiment vs. Breadth vs. Volatility Indicators<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Sometimes market breadth indicators, such as the Advance\/Decline Line or High\/Low index, are mentioned alongside stock market sentiment indicators. Breadth should be considered a technical indicator, not a sentiment indicator. Breadth specifically provides insights into the number of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/stock\">stocks<\/a> showing strength versus weakness. They help assess the overall strength and health of a market movement by showing whether it is supported by a broad number of stocks or just a few large ones.<\/p>\n<p>Volatility, as measured by the VIX index, is one way to view the market&#8217;s expectations for future volatility and is sometimes referred to as the &#8220;fear gauge.&#8221; Higher VIX levels typically indicate increased uncertainty or fear among investors, suggesting bearish sentiment. Conversely, lower VIX values can imply complacency or bullish sentiment. While both volatility and sentiment indicators provide insights into market dynamics, they measure different aspects.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"impact_of_market_sentiment_on_prices\">Impact of Market Sentiment on Prices<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Market sentiment tends to move in cycles over time, which after-the-fact is always very easy to spot but a lot harder at the time.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_204000\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-204000\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-2-300x237.jpg\" alt=\"\u200b\u200bfinance.yahoo\" width=\"1200\" height=\"949\" class=\"wp-image-204000\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-2-300x237.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-2-1024x810.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-2-768x607.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-2-1200x949.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Market-Sentiment-2.jpg 1390w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-204000\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: \u200b\u200bfinance.yahoo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"p1\"><div class=\"su-tabs su-tabs-style-default su-tabs-mobile-stack su-tabs-vertical\" data-active=\"1\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\" data-anchor-in-url=\"no\"><div class=\"su-tabs-nav\"><span class=\"\" data-url=\"\" data-target=\"blank\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\"><strong>Sentiment in Bull Markets<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"\" data-url=\"\" data-target=\"blank\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\"><strong>Sentiment in Bear Markets<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"\" data-url=\"\" data-target=\"blank\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\"><strong>Sentiment at Turning Points<\/strong><\/span><\/div><div class=\"su-tabs-panes\"><div class=\"su-tabs-pane su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" data-title=\"&lt;strong&gt;Sentiment in Bull Markets&lt;\/strong&gt;\">\n<p class=\"p1\">In bull markets, rising prices can enhance positive sentiment, creating a feedback loop where increasing optimism fuels further gains. This cycle of rising prices boosting sentiment, which in turn pushes prices even higher, is the best time to &#8220;go with the crowd&#8221; during periods of strong market momentum.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"su-tabs-pane su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" data-title=\"&lt;strong&gt;Sentiment in Bear Markets&lt;\/strong&gt;\">\n<p class=\"p1\">In bear markets, declining prices often lead to deteriorating sentiment. This negativity can perpetuate further selling, driving prices down in a self-reinforcing cycle of bearish sentiment and declining values. In such environments, following the crowd means acknowledging the downward trend, and cutting back on new positions or actively going <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/short-selling\">short the market<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"su-tabs-pane su-u-clearfix su-u-trim\" data-title=\"&lt;strong&gt;Sentiment at Turning Points&lt;\/strong&gt;\">\n<p>When sentiment reaches extreme bullishness or bearishness, it might be indicative of a market turning point. Turning points tend to be the best opportunities to invest but are the hardest to time. At these extremes, prices may be overly inflated or unduly depressed, suggesting a potential reversal. Hence, when sentiment is exceedingly bullish, caution is advised as the market might be nearing a peak. Conversely, extreme bearish sentiment might signal a market bottom, presenting a contrarian opportunity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<h2><span id=\"limitations_of_using_market_sentiment\">Limitations of Using Market Sentiment<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Market sentiment is inherently subjective in nature, so it can be ambiguous or even misleading at times, particularly when different sentiment indicators provide conflicting messages.<\/p>\n<p>While extreme readings might suggest impending market turning points, they are not always reliable and can be premature indicators. Acting on these signals alone risks positioning against the prevailing market trend, potentially leading to losses or missed opportunities to capitalize on ongoing trends.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"examples_of_market_sentiment\">Examples of Market Sentiment<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The chart below shows the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/definition\/sp-500-index\">S&amp;P 500 Index<\/a> juxtaposed with the NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll, which gauges market sentiment.<\/p>\n<p><strong>S&amp;P 500 and NDR Crowd Sentiment Indicator<\/strong><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_204001\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-204001\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-1-5-300x223.jpg\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 and NDR Crowd Sentiment Indicator\" width=\"1200\" height=\"891\" class=\"wp-image-204001\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-1-5-300x223.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-1-5-1024x761.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-1-5-768x570.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-1-5-1200x891.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.techopedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/unnamed-1-5.jpg 1458w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-204001\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: NDR.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Focusing on the two circled areas indicating periods of extreme bearish sentiment, let&#8217;s discuss these two instances:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>The first circled area, located around the early 2000s, corresponds with a period of significant market downturn known as the <strong>dot-com bubble burst<\/strong>. The sentiment poll&#8217;s low readings reflect extreme pessimism, which occurred as investors lost confidence in the sustainability of tech stocks and the broader market.<\/li>\n<li>The second circled area, occurring around 2008-2009, represents the market sentiment during the <strong>global financial crisis<\/strong>. The sentiment poll again shows extremely low readings, indicating pervasive fear and bearishness in reaction to the collapse of major financial institutions, housing market failures, and fears of a severe global recession.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><span id=\"the_bottom_line\">The Bottom Line<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Market sentiment reflects collective investor emotions, influencing stock prices and market trends. Sentiment indicators, such as the Put\/Call Ratio and Fear and Greed Index, gauge this mood, though they carry limitations and are best used with other analyses. Extreme sentiment can signal potential market turning points, warranting a cautious approach.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"faqs\">FAQs<\/span><\/h2>\n<div class=\"man_faq_sec\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/FAQPage\"><\/time><section class=\"ms_faq ms_card \" ><div itemscope itemprop=\"mainEntity\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Question\"><div class=\"accordionButton\"><h3 itemprop=\"name\">What is market sentiment in simple terms?<\/h3> <\/div>\n<div class=\"accordionContent\" itemscope itemprop=\"acceptedAnswer\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Answer\" style=\"display:none;\"><p itemprop=\"text\">Market sentiment refers to the overall attitude or mood of investors toward a particular financial market or security. It indicates whether the majority of market participants are bullish (expecting prices to rise) or bearish (expecting prices to fall) and can significantly influence market movements.<\/p>\r\n                <\/div><\/div><\/section>\n<section class=\"ms_faq ms_card \" ><div itemscope itemprop=\"mainEntity\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Question\"><div class=\"accordionButton\"><h3 itemprop=\"name\">Where can I find market sentiment?<\/h3> <\/div>\n<div class=\"accordionContent\" itemscope itemprop=\"acceptedAnswer\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Answer\" style=\"display:none;\"><p itemprop=\"text\">Market sentiment can be gauged through various sources such as financial news outlets, market analysis reports, investor surveys, and social media. Additionally, specific financial websites and platforms provide sentiment indicators and indexes that reflect the collective mood of market participants.<\/p>\r\n                <\/div><\/div><\/section>\n<section class=\"ms_faq ms_card \" ><div itemscope itemprop=\"mainEntity\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Question\"><div class=\"accordionButton\"><h3 itemprop=\"name\">What is the formula for market sentiment?<\/h3> <\/div>\n<div class=\"accordionContent\" itemscope itemprop=\"acceptedAnswer\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Answer\" style=\"display:none;\"><p itemprop=\"text\">There isn&#8217;t a single standardized formula for market sentiment as it encompasses various qualitative and quantitative factors. Analysts might use a combination of market indicators, investor surveys, and sentiment indexes, along with news analysis and trading volume, to assess the market&#8217;s mood.<\/p>\r\n                <\/div><\/div><\/section>\n<section class=\"ms_faq ms_card \" ><div itemscope itemprop=\"mainEntity\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Question\"><div class=\"accordionButton\"><h3 itemprop=\"name\">What is the best market sentiment indicator?<\/h3> <\/div>\n<div class=\"accordionContent\" itemscope itemprop=\"acceptedAnswer\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Answer\" style=\"display:none;\"><p itemprop=\"text\">The best market sentiment indicator varies depending on the market and the context. Common indicators include the Put\/Call Ratio, the Volatility Index (VIX), Bullish Percent Indexes, and the Advance\/Decline Line. The effectiveness of an indicator can depend on the specific market conditions and the investor&#8217;s strategy.<\/p>\r\n                <\/div><\/div><\/section>\n<section class=\"ms_faq ms_card \" ><div itemscope itemprop=\"mainEntity\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Question\"><div class=\"accordionButton\"><h3 itemprop=\"name\">What is the sentiment of the US market today?<\/h3> <\/div>\n<div class=\"accordionContent\" itemscope itemprop=\"acceptedAnswer\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Answer\" style=\"display:none;\"><p itemprop=\"text\">To obtain the current sentiment of the US market, one would typically refer to real-time financial news, market summaries, or sentiment analysis from financial analytics platforms. This information changes frequently and is influenced by economic reports, corporate news, and global events.<\/p>\r\n                <\/div><\/div><\/section>\n<div class=\"reference-content\">\n<div class=\"reference-heading reference-content-collapsible-heading\">\n<h2><span id=\"references\">References<\/span><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"reference-content-body\">\n<ol>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aaii.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Discover the Secrets Used by 2M+ Individual Investors<\/a> (Aaii)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is Market Sentiment? Market sentiment is a term coined to explain the collective feelings or attitudes toward a particular market or asset. Understanding market sentiment alongside market fundamentals and technical analysis is crucial for decoding financial market movements. The market sentiment definition extends beyond mere optimism or pessimism. It encapsulates the prevailing emotions and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":286908,"featured_media":203996,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"definitioncat":[2685],"class_list":["post-203979","definition","type-definition","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","definitioncat-stocks"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.2 (Yoast SEO v24.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What is Market Sentiment? Definition, Indicators &amp; Limitations<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Market Sentiment is the overall attitude or mood of investors toward a particular financial market or security. 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